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Wednesday, April 2, 2025

What's Wall Street really think, about these Trump tariffs?

 First off, the so-called "Trump tariffs", continued under Joe Biden, so in the bigger scope of things, we seem to be trying to become less reliant on China. This policy started with what was sold as the Pivot to Asia, under the Obama administration. New boss, same as the old boss.     


 If you believe the Marxist left wing media, then you might think Trump is hell bent on destroying the global economy. Every other story that's been published recently is about how "on edge" Wall Street investors are over Trump tariffs, but is there really any truth to this? 

Let's go directly to the charts, because the charts don't lie like the globalists who control every lame stream media narrative.

$TSX Canada - if investors were really concerned with the Trump tariffs, surely we would see it being priced in here, but for the past 2 years, leading up to the election, the only fear we saw was the fear of missing out on the next rally (FOMO).

 Today the $TSX continues to trade above the 200 day moving average, and that's a universally bullish signal. 


How about the financial system, surely Trump is putting that at risk. A picture says a thousand words. 


How bout' China, and Europe still trading near record recent highs? Nope.

We do see folks hiding in defensive sectors such as Utilities, Gold, REITs, and even Energy stocks. 

A word about energy stocks

Energy is where you are apparently supposed to hide when you believe a recession is coming, and we have seen the fast money piling into Energy for the past 2 years. Every time tech sells off, investors flee into energy. 

 You don't hear much about the stealth bull market, in Energy

 

 Recession?  


 

10 Best Recession Stocks Of 2025

I don't believe the recession narrative. I don't worry about it. I worry about the investors hiding in these so-called "safe havens" the most. In fact, I believe those sectors are in a full blown bubble. 

 Gold?

Gold retreats from record highs, holds above $3,100 ahead April's tariff "shock"

 

The market is made up of several markets, and as a trader it's your job to sift though the bs you see being reported by the legacy media every day, and find a few grains of truth, and trade accordingly. 

GL, AA  




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Sunday, March 30, 2025

The Great Trump Pump 'n' dump (slump) continues with Tesla

 Just as I've been predicting for the past 2+ years, stocks which were driven up on Biden's watch, are being crashed on Trump's watch. I put out the final warning back in January, but I'm afraid few listened.... 

See:

More Killer Swing Trading Opportinities in Crypto - NASDAQ alert - $VIX Alert, and a Lame Stream Media PsyOp - dated Jan. 14th, 2025

Bitcoin which was also run up on Trump hype crashed right on schedule, and is currently trading -$25k off it's all time high.

Tesla

Tesla gets a lot of attention from lame stream media, because it is a target of the Marxists, but there is an entire basket of stocks which have nothing to do with Elon Musk, which have been simply Pumped 'n' Dumped for sport, because this is what meme traders do.  

I suspect these aren't meme traders, but clever hedge funds employing the same methodology that meme traders used to drive stocks such as Gamestop, and AMC, into historic short squeezes. 

What Are Meme Stocks, and Are They Real Investments?


 I'm proud to say, I pointed to this trend early on when I started noticing the chatter on social media, centered around so-called "trading Apes".

See:

Market Update 6/21/22 - What Is #FinTwit? Exposing The Scam Of The Century

 

Exposing the FinTwit community for what it truly is, a network packed with scammers, bots, and sharks.

 

 I think meme trades are not being run by a handful of traders on Reddit, but by the same hedge funds who have been pulling these same pump and dump schemes for decades.  

See: 

CNBC's Jim Cramer draws fire over Stock Market manipulation comments


NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - Stock market commentator and CNBC television host Jim Cramer has raised eyebrows after describing illegal activities used by hedge fund managers to manipulate stock prices.
In a December video interview on TheStreet.com Web site, a financial news company he co-founded, Cramer described how he could push stocks higher or lower, depending on if he was long or short, at his previous job running a hedge fund.

 Funny, the same people who have been charged with manipulating the stock market, are seen manipulating public perception every day. Last I checked, CNBC is still on the air, and selling memberships!   

Ever hear of something called App Loving $APP?

 Driven to the moon and back. AppLovin Corporation (APP): “Tech Must Bounce!” – Jim Cramer Eyes AppLovin as a Key Market Signal 

 The Short List

 My short list of  stocks which are routinely pumped and dumped, not to mention the entire crypto space, also includes household names like Costco, Starbucks, and even Goldman Sachs. 

$IBKR, $COST, $HOOD, we also see MEME stocks such as $MSTR, & $SMCI routinely pumped and dumped, not to mention the entire crypto space. 

$COST  - loses 10% of it's value in 1 week 


$SAN Banco Santander - it seems the more worthless the stock, the better short squeeze potential


 $SOUN - Soundhound

$SMCI - Super Micro - this is one of the better known meme trades

 $NOW - Service Now - pumped to $1100...

 $MRVL Marvel Technology

$TTD Trade Desk 

$PLTR Palantir 

$HIMS 



There are many many more stocks I could add to the above list  

Of course the AI boom story was used as the catalyst to spur "animal instincts", and now we see the same lame stream media gleefully reporting that, "all seven Mag 7 stocks were lower (on Friday)", as they question if AI is in a "bubble". lol 

As I mentioned earlier in the year, entire countries - such as China & India - are being run up in the same way, and for the same purpose.    

Trading has become an extreme sport, and not one for the inexperienced, or faint of heart. 

Just look at how the media lied about a broad market rally, being led by small caps? 

I personally saw Jim Cramer pumping Airline stocks the same way, and today you see Trump cost cutting measures being blamed for the continuing bear market in that dismal sector.

Airlines - never recovered after Covid 



How did we get to this point of extreme pump n dump mania? I think it has to do with extreme greed, and lack of accountability, but also due to the lack of an IPO market that's worth investing in.
 
If hedge funds can't make the same money they used to pumping and dumping new IPO's, then they're going to go with plan B. 

CoreWeave Misfire Extends IPO Malaise Instead of Ending It

Take care, AA






 



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Saturday, March 15, 2025

All That Glitters Is Gold Market Update NASDAQ Chart

Announcements:

1. I'm finally back on Twitter/X after getting booted off for a week. I guess I said the wrong thing, but that's bound to happen once in a while, after tweeting 200k (196.8k posts) times! 

 Funny, back when I was a social media influencer on Yahoo, before there was a Twitter, I never got booted off the site, not even once, and I still rely on yahoo finance, when doing my research! I hope Elon runs DOGE better than he runs Twitter/X.  

2. Be sure to check out all the important blog updates from last week; in case you missed them. 

All That Glitters Is Gold

All That Glitters Is Gold, is a line from the song Stairway to Heaven, which is undeniably one of the best classic rock songs ever written. 

 Gold and the China trade seemed to be the safe haven trades on Thursday, as sectors such as Retail, and Transportation continued to be punished. 

 So is gold a safety trade? 

The biggest Gold bug on Social Media thinks so

 

I'll let you decide if a 1 day pump to the $3000 level seems like a bullish move, but I've alerted to this obvious Gold target several times before.... 

It didn't take WWIII to drive gold to $3000, but greed is a powerful motivator....

Market Update 

Friday, we saw a relief rally as Chuck Schumer, and other rich democrats covered their short positions.  

A government shutdown now seems unlikely. That's giving the stock market a much-needed boost.

RE: The current state of the market

As I posed on Truth Social last week, the recent sell-off doesn't surprise me at all.

  I have been trying to warn investors for over a year that the rally wasn't sustainable. 

Go back and look at the 100's of warnings I put out, in 2024 alone. 

Bitcoin included 

Dec, 2024

 

I even put out a final warning on the $VIX levels, before every Tom, Dick, and Harry in the lame stream media started pointing at it. 

Winning! 

So what next?

 This may feel like a crash, but that's only because we haven't seen a correction in over 2 years. By comparison, even the Yen/Carry unwind (at $VIX 65) was only a 1 day sell-off, which was met with panic buying (or the plunge protection team...), , but at this point in time this pullback cannot be characterized as a market crash.

I think we could retest the lows again, and I think a final shakeout is likely going to take place in the most (still) overbought sector, Big Tech

NASDAQ - resistance becomes the 200 day moving average.  

 


The bullish channel is broken; In case you didn't already notice that. That is very bearish for the tech heavy Nasdaq, and Mag7 stocks specifically.

 Technically the NASDAQ isn't BIG tech, asd much as the $NDX is, but I'm not here to offer free targets to the public.

This I can tell you; the News Cycle has changed, and until the market can rally again, on bad news, sentiment remains bearish. 

 All Eyes will be on the Fed this week, and I can't tell you, at this moment - on this Saturday - how I intend to trade it, but as long as the $VIX continues to trade above 20, I suggest investors remain cautious. 

No Pain, No Gain? Trump Adopts New Zen-Like Approach to Stock Market Swings

Take Care, and GL AA 


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Thursday, March 13, 2025

Wall Street Journal Lies In Order To Make Trump Look Bad

 They're back at it again. Who is "they", you ask? I'll reveal that at the end of this blog. 

Wall Street Journal Lies In Order To Make Trump Look Bad

Last Updated: Mar 10, 2025, 7:53 PM EDT

1 day ago

Trade War With Canada Lifts Natural-Gas Prices

5 year chart view courtesy of the wsj

Look, anyone who has been paying attention knows Natural Gas prices rose on predictions of colder than expected winter weather, and the climate engineers btw have no problem arranging that outcome, if that's what the money printers want. 

If you're unaware of the continuing climate operations, then you should watch 

The Dimming, Full Length Climate Engineering Documentary (GeoengineeringWatch.Org )


 

 And It's not only the US who has been experimenting with weather manipulation, over the past 100 years: 

China to expand weather modification program to cover area larger than India

Getting back to the WSJ's  Natural Gas (false narrative) Story:

Natural gas prices spike on forecasts of colder than expected winter foxbusiness

The author of the WSJ article claims that NatGas prices are rising, because of Trump Tariffs, yet the latest rally in Natural Gas actually started building a base - from an oversold condition - last August. 

What's really astounding it that the WSJ journal ignores the elephant in the room, which is that Natural Gas prices ran to $10 thank in part to the (counterfeit) Biden administration's green energy policy, a proxy war with Russia - that could have been avoided - not to mention a sabotaged Gas pipeline, and the Biden Crime Family's dirty dealing with a Ukrainian Gas company, but I digress!    

What Hunter Biden did on the board of Ukrainian energy company Burisma

Reuters


It's too bad the WSJ has to pull stunts like this for a perceived political gain, when normal folks are struggling to just heat their house in the winter, and put food on the table. As I understand, the Wall Street Journal used to be a reliable  news source serious investors could rely on, but this is a different era in news making, and now you know the Who, What, When, How & Why briefly drove Natural Gas to a brief 1 year high, on Monday.    

Today:

Oil prices tick lower; IEA warns trade tensions will undercut demand 

That's good news, but Oil prices have actually been declining for years 

Final Note: Today I see Youtubers coming out of the woodwork, claiming that the Dems are driving the false narrative that Donald Trump is to blame for the recent market turmoil in order to help them in the midterm primaries?

 Look, these aren't democrats... they're globalists, and financial terrorists, who's end game is to destroy the free world, so that we have to live in a dystopian (Chinese model) nightmare surveillance society, you already see people having to deal with in places like Canada, Australia, and most European countries.

America is different, and the globalists don't like that! 

Let's try to keep it that way.

Take care, AA   



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